Statistics & Probability · Guided Practice

Probability and Risk

11 questions with answers and video solutions. Try each one before revealing the answer.

1
A bag contains 5\displaystyle 5 red, 3\displaystyle 3 blue and 2\displaystyle 2 green counters.
One counter is taken at random.
Calculate the probability that it is red.
Video solution coming soon
2
A fair six-sided dice is rolled once.
Calculate the probability of scoring more than 4\displaystyle 4.
Video solution coming soon
3
A box contains 4\displaystyle 4 red and 6\displaystyle 6 blue pens.
Two pens are taken at random without replacement.
Calculate the probability that both are red.
Video solution coming soon
4
The probability that a train arrives late is 0.035\displaystyle 0.035.
A company runs 800\displaystyle 800 trains in a month.
Calculate the expected number of late trains.
Video solution coming soon
5
The probability that a train arrives on time is 0.8\displaystyle 0.8.
Three trains run independently.
Calculate the probability that all three arrive on time.
Video solution coming soon
6
Two machines are tested.
Machine A failed 3\displaystyle 3 times in 250\displaystyle 250 runs.
Machine B failed 5\displaystyle 5 times in 400\displaystyle 400 runs.
Determine which machine is more reliable. Use your working to justify your answer.
Video solution coming soon
7
2018 P1 Q14
3 Marks

Michael runs a stall at the school fayre.
His game requires two spinners to be spun and allowed to come to rest.
The spinners are shown below.

Two spinners with numbers

The numbers on which the spinners come to rest are multiplied together.
To win a prize the answer to this multiplication must be less than 5.

Calculate the probability of winning a prize.

8
2022 P1 Q5
3 Marks

Jade runs a game stall at the Christmas coffee morning.
Her game requires two spinners to be spun and allowed to come to rest.
The spinners are fair and are shown below.

Two fair spinners, one with numbers 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and another with 0, 2, 4, 8, 9, 10, 12

The numbers on which the spinners come to rest are multiplied together.
To win a prize the answer to this multiplication must be greater than 30.
Calculate the probability of winning a prize.

9
2023 P1 Q5
3 Marks

Eddie runs a stall at the school fundraiser.

His game requires two spinners to be spun and allowed to come to rest. The spinners are shown.

Two spinners: first with colours blue, red, green, yellow, red; second with numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

A prize is won if one spinner lands on blue or green and the other spinner lands on an even number.

Calculate the probability of NOT winning a prize.

10
2024 P2 Q3
2 Marks

A lottery consists of a draw with 49 balls numbered from 1 to 49.
In the draw six numbered balls are drawn and not replaced.
These six numbers were 3, 7, 12, 13, 28 and 42.
A further bonus ball is then drawn.

Calculate the probability of the bonus ball being a number less than 8.

11
2025 P1 Q8(a)
3 Marks

Lesley ran a game stall at her local gala.
The game requires two spinners to be spun and allowed to come to rest.
The spinners are fair and are shown below.
To win a prize, spinner B must land on a larger number than spinner A.

Spinner A with 5 numbers and Spinner B with 8 numbers

(a) Calculate the probability of winning a prize.